https://blog.hsoi.com/2017/09/23/concea ... -to-texas/
Nemerov's article:
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm ... id=3011938
Executive summary:
Nemerov, Howard Ross, Concealed Handgun Licensing: Asset to Texas (August 1, 2017). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3011938
Executive Summary
Conviction data is an indicator of a demographic group’s criminality, because it removes doubt over
whether or not somebody committed a crime.
The Texas Department of Public Safety produces annual conviction reports for Texas carry
licensees and non-licensees over 21, creating equivalent groups to compare, since Texas grant carry
licenses to qualified applicants over 21.
Based upon this data, since 2000 (16 years):
Non-licensees committed FBI major crime felonies 20 times as often as carry licensees.
Licensees became more law-abiding over time—lower conviction rates—relative to nonlicensees.
For all non-FBI crimes—other felonies and misdemeanors—non-licensees committed crime
11 times as often as carry licensees.
Since 2006 (last 10 years) non-licensees committed non-FBI crimes 14 times as often.
If non-licensees were as law-abiding as carry licensees:
There would be a 96.5% reduction in FBI major crimes.
Texas would have saved about $10 billion annually in medical, productivity, and social costs
of these crimes, equivalent to one-third of the state’s education budget.