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ELB wrote:The reason I noticed the error above is I was transferring some of the data from Charles' pdf file to an excel workbook so I could experiment with some graphical representations.

The thing that makes graphical representations so hard is that LTC'ers are so law-abiding and convictions so rare that when you compare them to any other number variables, from active LTCs to the population of Texas, the tiny little conviction rate is overwhelmed and vanishes to a puny little pixel of color at the bottom of the graph.

This is the only decent (graphically speaking) result I was able to come up with so far:



It would be interesting, in support of the bill to remove remaining prohibitions on LTC carry, to present the hearing committee with a chart that covers one wall entirely, and maybe part of the ceiling, and then point to a little bitty splash of color down by the baseboard and say,
"See that? Way down there by the baseboard? No, not that one, that big dot is a cockroach, look at the smaller dot. That's what the BradyMomsBloomersAgainstHonestCitizens says will cause untold carnage and bloodshed in the state of Texas if you don't disarm the other million or so LTCers."

Charles L. Cotton wrote:DPS has published the crime stats for 2015 and the LTC track record gets better every year. There was a population correction for 2014 that changed the ratio. For 2014, LTCs were 20 times (actually 19.7) less likely to commit a crime than the general public. For 2015, LTCs are 21 times less likely to commit a crime.

The LTC population increased by 111,462 Licensees, but the total number of crimes by an LTC actually went down slightly. This is nothing less than astounding folks!

Remember, the crime figures for the general population published by the DPS are for persons age 21 years and over. That's the only way to make a comparison with Licensees. Therefore, the crime figures posted will be different from the overall crime stats for the State, because those will include people who are between 17 and 20 years of age. In other words, the DPS data and my analysis are conservative because the total number of crimes for the general population would be higher if they included crimes committed by people in the 17 - 20 year old bracket.

Keep up the good work LTCs! I want the folks in Austin to explain to me why we need to retain any off-limits areas for LTCs.
Chas