Corona Virus (COVID-19)( SARS-CoV-2) from China: Its going to be bad.

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jerry_r60
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Re: Corona Virus (COVID-19)( SARS-CoV-2) from China: Its going to be bad.

#1936

Post by jerry_r60 »

mayor wrote: Tue Jan 11, 2022 8:43 am
philip964 wrote: Mon Jan 10, 2022 4:12 pm Brief Covid- 19 Update

January 7, 2022 5:15pm (9 days) Friday 302,367,482 (+2,010,059)per 24 hr average over 9 days) cases worldwide with 5,478,105 (+6,407) dead 9,371,317,757 vaccine doses, USA 59,114,417 (+613,047) infected, 835,929 (+2,022 per day) dead .

January 10, 2022 2:21pm (3 days almost) Monday 308,619,579 (+2,084,032 per 24 hr average over 3 days an increase of 20,010 per day) cases worldwide with 5,492,243 (+4,712 a decrease of 1,695 per day) dead 9,439,843 vaccine doses, USA 60,784,265 59,114,417 (+556,616 a decrease of 56,431 per day) infected, 838,527 (+866 a decrease of 1,156 per day) dead .

So is the U. S. turning the corner with this small daily decrease in new infections and new deaths?

Of course 556,616 new daily infections is still a lot.
Yep. I still have a .2% chance of getting sick with coof.
I"m curious what numbers you used. I know there are different ways to calculate this. Very early on, like in April of 2020 the per capita infections were 0.02% of the Texas population. The numbers I had then were a population of 29,360,000 and as of 4/5/2020 6,877 cases. As of yesterday, with a 2021 Texas population of 29,527,941 and total cases of 5,087,686, that yields a per capita infection of 17.2%.

Of course using vaccinated numbers or numbers from some different location, maybe a small rural town or something, you can get different numbers. I know there are several different ways to look at it but I'm just curious how you got .2%?

Death rate had gotten as high as 2.7% in Texas (I know some of the counting can be in question but this si pretty much consistent globally), with Omicron, treatment improvements, vaccines etc it's dropped back down to 1.5% in Texas. Thats from the beginning. I'm sure it's much lower if you only look since Omicron.

I don't have any numbers for being sick enough to be in the hospital.

jerry_r60
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Re: Corona Virus (COVID-19)( SARS-CoV-2) from China: Its going to be bad.

#1937

Post by jerry_r60 »

Tex1961 wrote: Tue Jan 11, 2022 11:27 am On day 3, tested yesterday. I show positive, wife shows negative but both have same symptoms. Uggg.
Prayers offered.

My daugher and her familty just went through this. We were all very nervous but they experienced what seems to be typical of Omicron. The kids all had symptoms like a cold. My daughter and her husband had it more like a flu. 104 fever for a few days and a couple weeks of very high fatigue (tough dealign with kids while both parents sick. They are almost back to normal now in 3rd week.

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Re: Corona Virus (COVID-19)( SARS-CoV-2) from China: Its going to be bad.

#1938

Post by Tex1961 »

jerry_r60 wrote: Tue Jan 11, 2022 11:53 am
Tex1961 wrote: Tue Jan 11, 2022 11:27 am On day 3, tested yesterday. I show positive, wife shows negative but both have same symptoms. Uggg.
Prayers offered.

My daugher and her familty just went through this. We were all very nervous but they experienced what seems to be typical of Omicron. The kids all had symptoms like a cold. My daughter and her husband had it more like a flu. 104 fever for a few days and a couple weeks of very high fatigue (tough dealign with kids while both parents sick. They are almost back to normal now in 3rd week.
Thanks,
So far just feels like a cold but with more fatigue. No fever fortunately.
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Re: Corona Virus (COVID-19)( SARS-CoV-2) from China: Its going to be bad.

#1939

Post by Paladin »

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Re: Corona Virus (COVID-19)( SARS-CoV-2) from China: Its going to be bad.

#1940

Post by Paladin »

Mass. Wastewater Data Suggests Covid-19 Cases Substantially Higher Than Reported

From this chart it appears that Omicron started in November:
Image
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Re: Corona Virus (COVID-19)( SARS-CoV-2) from China: Its going to be bad.

#1941

Post by Paladin »

Leading Western experts believed a lab leak was the 'likely' origin of Covid but were silenced because it could cause harm to Chinese scientists, bombshell emails show.

The Conspiracy theory of a coverup is not conspiracy fact
Despite his concerns, Sir Jeremy went on to sign letters in The Lancet a fortnight later denouncing anyone who believed in the lab leak theory as bigoted.
If all else fails, these criminals use the race card
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Re: Corona Virus (COVID-19)( SARS-CoV-2) from China: Its going to be bad.

#1942

Post by 03Lightningrocks »

Paladin wrote: Thu Jan 13, 2022 2:52 pm Leading Western experts believed a lab leak was the 'likely' origin of Covid but were silenced because it could cause harm to Chinese scientists, bombshell emails show.

The Conspiracy theory of a coverup is not conspiracy fact
Despite his concerns, Sir Jeremy went on to sign letters in The Lancet a fortnight later denouncing anyone who believed in the lab leak theory as bigoted.
If all else fails, these criminals use the race card
A person would have to be as dumb as a stump of wood to ever think this virus was anything but a Chinese lab made virus. From the get go.

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Re: Corona Virus (COVID-19)( SARS-CoV-2) from China: Its going to be bad.

#1943

Post by NotRPB »

Paladin wrote: Mon Jan 03, 2022 7:11 pm
philip964 wrote: Mon Jan 03, 2022 7:06 pm https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/arti ... zzard.html

Prepare for viral blizzard as US hits almost 500,000 cases a day.

My boosted friend who got Omicron was over it in a few days, but did give it to his boosted wife who was also over it in a few days.
So far Omicron has been very mild. Like the flu. Lots of people are showing up to the hospital to get tested and they pretty much all have it... but aren't sick enough to warrant being in a hospital.

The people it is affecting tend to be the young and women... my guess is that almost everyone else already had Delta. Having previously had COVID plus the vac seems to be the best protection.
i feel safer then, apparently I generally wear "young women repellent." (I guess that's what they mean about "dad jeans" when they say i dress funny, i always thought it was a Red Skelton era compliment)

I do have a fellow Ham friend who got omicron was sick a few days ordered from some secret internet dr some med for people also sold for animals which was called in to his local pharmacy (some pharmacies don't fill it?) a $400 medicine that made him almost well in 2 days as far as fever and chest pain, tough he still has lots of allergy type symptoms drainage coughing & is back at work i think

mayor
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Re: Corona Virus (COVID-19)( SARS-CoV-2) from China: Its going to be bad.

#1944

Post by mayor »

jerry_r60 wrote: Tue Jan 11, 2022 11:32 am
mayor wrote: Tue Jan 11, 2022 8:43 am
philip964 wrote: Mon Jan 10, 2022 4:12 pm Brief Covid- 19 Update

January 7, 2022 5:15pm (9 days) Friday 302,367,482 (+2,010,059)per 24 hr average over 9 days) cases worldwide with 5,478,105 (+6,407) dead 9,371,317,757 vaccine doses, USA 59,114,417 (+613,047) infected, 835,929 (+2,022 per day) dead .

January 10, 2022 2:21pm (3 days almost) Monday 308,619,579 (+2,084,032 per 24 hr average over 3 days an increase of 20,010 per day) cases worldwide with 5,492,243 (+4,712 a decrease of 1,695 per day) dead 9,439,843 vaccine doses, USA 60,784,265 59,114,417 (+556,616 a decrease of 56,431 per day) infected, 838,527 (+866 a decrease of 1,156 per day) dead .

So is the U. S. turning the corner with this small daily decrease in new infections and new deaths?

Of course 556,616 new daily infections is still a lot.
Yep. I still have a .2% chance of getting sick with coof.
I"m curious what numbers you used. I know there are different ways to calculate this. Very early on, like in April of 2020 the per capita infections were 0.02% of the Texas population. The numbers I had then were a population of 29,360,000 and as of 4/5/2020 6,877 cases. As of yesterday, with a 2021 Texas population of 29,527,941 and total cases of 5,087,686, that yields a per capita infection of 17.2%.

Of course using vaccinated numbers or numbers from some different location, maybe a small rural town or something, you can get different numbers. I know there are several different ways to look at it but I'm just curious how you got .2%?

Death rate had gotten as high as 2.7% in Texas (I know some of the counting can be in question but this si pretty much consistent globally), with Omicron, treatment improvements, vaccines etc it's dropped back down to 1.5% in Texas. Thats from the beginning. I'm sure it's much lower if you only look since Omicron.

I don't have any numbers for being sick enough to be in the hospital.
Statistics was never my strongest subject, so I could be magnitudes of incorrect. 556,616/300,000,000 (approximate population of U.S.) = 0.0018 chance of contracting covid.
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Flightmare
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Re: Corona Virus (COVID-19)( SARS-CoV-2) from China: Its going to be bad.

#1945

Post by Flightmare »

mayor wrote: Fri Jan 14, 2022 10:26 am
jerry_r60 wrote: Tue Jan 11, 2022 11:32 am
mayor wrote: Tue Jan 11, 2022 8:43 am
philip964 wrote: Mon Jan 10, 2022 4:12 pm Brief Covid- 19 Update

January 7, 2022 5:15pm (9 days) Friday 302,367,482 (+2,010,059)per 24 hr average over 9 days) cases worldwide with 5,478,105 (+6,407) dead 9,371,317,757 vaccine doses, USA 59,114,417 (+613,047) infected, 835,929 (+2,022 per day) dead .

January 10, 2022 2:21pm (3 days almost) Monday 308,619,579 (+2,084,032 per 24 hr average over 3 days an increase of 20,010 per day) cases worldwide with 5,492,243 (+4,712 a decrease of 1,695 per day) dead 9,439,843 vaccine doses, USA 60,784,265 59,114,417 (+556,616 a decrease of 56,431 per day) infected, 838,527 (+866 a decrease of 1,156 per day) dead .

So is the U. S. turning the corner with this small daily decrease in new infections and new deaths?

Of course 556,616 new daily infections is still a lot.
Yep. I still have a .2% chance of getting sick with coof.
I"m curious what numbers you used. I know there are different ways to calculate this. Very early on, like in April of 2020 the per capita infections were 0.02% of the Texas population. The numbers I had then were a population of 29,360,000 and as of 4/5/2020 6,877 cases. As of yesterday, with a 2021 Texas population of 29,527,941 and total cases of 5,087,686, that yields a per capita infection of 17.2%.

Of course using vaccinated numbers or numbers from some different location, maybe a small rural town or something, you can get different numbers. I know there are several different ways to look at it but I'm just curious how you got .2%?

Death rate had gotten as high as 2.7% in Texas (I know some of the counting can be in question but this si pretty much consistent globally), with Omicron, treatment improvements, vaccines etc it's dropped back down to 1.5% in Texas. Thats from the beginning. I'm sure it's much lower if you only look since Omicron.

I don't have any numbers for being sick enough to be in the hospital.
Statistics was never my strongest subject, so I could be magnitudes of incorrect. 556,616/300,000,000 (approximate population of U.S.) = 0.0018 chance of contracting covid.
556,616 was the number of people who tested positive in a single day in the US. So saying a 0.0018 chance of contracting covid on THAT DAY, it would be more accurate.
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philip964
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Re: Corona Virus (COVID-19)( SARS-CoV-2) from China: Its going to be bad.

#1946

Post by philip964 »

Brief Covid- 19 Update

January 10, 2022 2:21pm (3 days almost) Monday 308,619,579 (+2,084,032 per 24 hr average over 3 days an increase of 20,010 per day) cases worldwide with 5,492,243 (+4,712 a decrease of 1,695 per day) dead 9,439,843 vaccine doses, USA 60,784,265 (+556,616 a decrease of 56,431 per day) infected, 838,527 (+866 a decrease of 1,156 per day) dead .

January 14, 2022 2:09pm (4 days) Friday 322,242,878 (+3,405,824 per 24 hr average over 4 days an increase of 330,448 per day a 16x increase) cases worldwide with 5,526,169 (+8,481 an increase of 3,769 per day) dead., USA 64,533,959 (+937,423 an increase of 513,867 per day) infected, 848,051 (+2,381 an increase of 1,515 per day) dead .

So the small decrease in cases and deaths in the US was an anomaly. US is almost a one million a day in new cases a day. I guess we will hit herd immunity at some point.

As to where and the accuracy of the numbers. I get them from the Covid-19 dashboard at John Hopkins. As to whether I copied them correctly, all I can say is I try. Whether John Hopkins numbers are correct, a lot of that is being questioned as a person brought in to the hospital from a skydiving accident who tests positive for Covid and dies, dies from Covid, is I understand how they do it. Of course a perfectly healthy person who suddenly dies of a heart attack at the age of 31, but had a Covid shot a week ago is just a coincidence.
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Re: Corona Virus (COVID-19)( SARS-CoV-2) from China: Its going to be bad.

#1947

Post by Beiruty »

Some suggested that Omicron is the best vaccine against COVID-19. Mild and can be tolerated. However, the Omicron is different from Delta and all other COVID-19 mutations.
On the other hand, the concern is that if Omicron mutates to a more deadly version.
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Re: Corona Virus (COVID-19)( SARS-CoV-2) from China: Its going to be bad.

#1948

Post by philip964 »

Beiruty wrote: Fri Jan 14, 2022 3:49 pm Some suggested that Omicron is the best vaccine against COVID-19. Mild and can be tolerated. However, the Omicron is different from Delta and all other COVID-19 mutations.
On the other hand, the concern is that if Omicron mutates to a more deadly version.
It’s tough trying to fight a commie man made militarized virus.
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Re: Corona Virus (COVID-19)( SARS-CoV-2) from China: Its going to be bad.

#1949

Post by Beiruty »

philip964 wrote: Fri Jan 14, 2022 4:23 pm
Beiruty wrote: Fri Jan 14, 2022 3:49 pm Some suggested that Omicron is the best vaccine against COVID-19. Mild and can be tolerated. However, the Omicron is different from Delta and all other COVID-19 mutations.
On the other hand, the concern is that if Omicron mutates to a more deadly version.
It’s tough trying to fight a commie man made militarized virus.
Correct
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jerry_r60
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Re: Corona Virus (COVID-19)( SARS-CoV-2) from China: Its going to be bad.

#1950

Post by jerry_r60 »

Interesting Risk Calculator. This is a pretty interesting article and Covid Risk calculator for various scenarios. You may or may not agree with all the assumptions but many of them are stated so you can adjust if you want. You can decide for yourself how well it's done but it's still kind of interesting to play around with. If you are interested, I'd suggest reading the article and then click on the calculator.

https://www.smithsonianmag.com/innovati ... 180978670/

This article points to a few different calculators done by different folks.
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-03637-y
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